Down to the Wire
Gallup’s tracking poll over the last month shows that Obama’s post-convention bounce has entirely dissapated and the race stands even, as this figure demonstrates:

Gallup’s tracking poll is of registered voters, a class of sample more likely to favor a Democrat than a likely voter sample. So it may be that Romney would be slightly ahead if Gallup was using a likely voter screen. Either way, the race is essentially a toss-up with a little more than a month to go until the election. On to the debates…D.GOOCH
