Tuesday, 2. November 2010 16:10
5:14 PM - I will be live blogging the election returns as they come in. We should get a good idea fairly early how big the wave is (assuming it exists).
5:37 PM – Early on, I’ll be anxious to see the returns on the Hill/Young race in Indiana and the Barr/Chandler race in KY. If Republicans take both, it’s a good sign the R wave is definately going to crest this evening.
5:41 PM – Fox News Exit poll indicates 75% of voters are either ‘angry’ or ‘dissatisfied’ with the federal government. A plurality of voters (38%) are registering an Obama protest vote today. 6 in 10 say the country is on the “wrong track.”
6:12 PM - Coats called for Indiana. That’s R + 1. Paul has already been declared the winner in Kentucky. That’s a hold, but a big win for the Tea Party.
6:32 PM – Portman gets Fox nod in Ohio.
6:46 PM – Burr is down to Chandler but the rural counties aren’t in yet. Still…word is he’s running behind Paul. Grayson down in Florida, but 6% just in.
7:02 PM - Another BIG Tea Party pickup. Rubio takes out Crist and Meek to win the senate seat in FL. Unsurpisingly, Linda “WWE” McMahon down for the three count (heh) against Blumenthal. Also, Coons declared winner in Delaware over Christine “I’m not a Witch” O’Donnell.
7:26 PM - Student X: “Republicans are half the reason we’re in this power struggle!” Yes. Yes they are.
7:33 PM - Arkansas’ big races are in. Fox calls it for Boozeman in the Senate and Beebe in the Governor’s mansion.
7:40 PM – Fox calls West Virginia for Manchin. The chances of Republicans taking the Senate just shrunk considerably.
7:47 PM – Young wins in the Indiana bellweather. The exerable Alan Grayson is projected a loser. And there was much rejoicing.
8:13 PM - NBC projects – Republican takeover of the House.
8:16 PM - It’s an interesting dichotomy. The House is turning out a little better than expected for the Republicans…while the Senate results have been rather tepid.
9:19 PM – The Senate is alot of trouble for the Republican wave. Toomey & Kirk trail, and the exit polls indicate Reid sqeeks it out in Nevada. But all three races could still go Republican. This suggests California and Washington are lost casues for the elephants.
11:14 PM - Republicans are going to eek out wins in PA and IL. Colorado remains too close to call. Angle is toast in NV…how did that happen? Reid had an underwater approval rating. What happens in Vegas…anyway. No word on AK…but the Miller camp is reportedly nervous. Writing in “Murkowski” is still a big hurtle…weird election.
12:17 AM - Shocker, Nevada Senate seat has been called for Harry Reid. I made my predictions a few weeks ago and hence missed out on the late breaking move for Machin in WV and Fiorina didn’t close like I thought she would. Had I made predictions yesterday, I’d have said Machin & Boxer would win. But I still would have called Reid a loser. He was down in nearly every poll. I attribute this stunning victory to four factors:
Reid’s Machivellian strategy of picking his opponent in Angle, keeping better candidates like Lowden and Tark on the sidelines.
A scorched earth ad campaign against Angle, defining her as extreme, which poured millions of dollars into the race in the summer. Angle was defined before she even got on the air.
The Casino/culinary union vote a.k.a. Harry’s ground game. His turnout organization was unbelievable. And he was aided by several powerful LV corporations and unions in turning out his vote. But those are the good corporations (casinos)…right my Lefty friends?
The odd electoral quirk where Nevada actually has a “none of the above” on the ballot.
But as explainable as it might be, it is still a shock. It shouldn’t have happened. It wasn’t supposed to happen. Reid may not be the sharpest knife in the drawer and a bad majority leader…but the guy knows how to win an election. D.GOOCH